Grafik Tren Indeks Harga Baja (IHSG)

Steel prices are likely to be "much higher" in the coming years compared to recent levels, the chief executive of a major Indian steelmaker has predicted.

Kepala Eksekutif Tata Steel TV Narendran baru-baru ini mengatakan bahwa harga rata-rata baja gelindingan panas-dalam beberapa tahun terakhir adalah sekitar 400 atau 450 per metrik ton. Dia memperkirakan bahwa rata-rata-jangka panjang di masa depan dapat melebihi 600.

Narendran explained that the steel market is going through a number of changes, including rising costs and China's changing role in the market. At its peak, China exported more steel than India produced.He added that China's steel exports have since halved to about 60 million tonnes a year and are likely to fall further as China pursues its net-zero carbon emissions target.

In January 2022, the crude steel output of the 64 countries included in the statistics of the World Steel Association was 155.0 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 6.1 percent .The world's steel production is declining.

On the supply side, input costs are at "all-time highs" due to rising coal prices.Both coal and iron ore are raw materials for steel production. Steel prices could also be pushed up by rising carbon costs in Europe.As a result, the world's steel demand will be in a situation of "in short supply". In addition, due to the impact of the epidemic, there is no doubt that the price of steel will continue to rise.

Grafik Tren Indeks Harga Baja China (IHSG)

Berdasarkan pantauan Iron and Steel Association, pada akhir Januari, China Steel Price Index (CSPI) sebesar 132,98 poin, naik 1,28 poin atau 0,97 persen dari akhir Desember. 2021, dan bulan-pada-peningkatan bulan berubah dari penurunan menjadi peningkatan; setahun-ke-tahun meningkat 10,26 poin, meningkat 8,36 persen . Angka tersebut menunjukkan bahwa harga baja sedang meningkat.